Reaganite Independent: A Patriotic Conservative Awakening Even the RNC's Ossified Pachyderms Can't Botch

If Mitch McConnell and other entrenched GOP fossils didn't get the TEA Party's message coming out of Alaska this week, you have to wonder when they will...

And it is this: Your power to control primaries and stick us with unprincipled candidates is waning rapidly...
& we're taking this country back with or without you.

Our nation's admirable tendency to self-correct has not only turned millions on the corrupt and bumbling radicals of the Obama Administration in record time... it now fuels a powerful and influential grassroots movement demanding actual fiscal conservatives on the ballot that are willing to wrestle the leviathan of progressive Big Government right-to-the-ground... like, say- a Joe Miller.

Decisive swing states of 2008 like Ohio are showing strong GOP preferences, recently even telling pollsters they'd -by a plurality- prefer to have George W Bush back. And while Dubya was no Reaganite, it's now dawning on a lot of bewildered folks that it can always get worse... and it did.

Tellingly, even previously-invulnerable statist fiends like Harry Reid and Barbara Boxer are feeling the heat, and the voters' most pressing concern -the economy- shows no signs of helping them with a blip of October growth, either... rather, it's tanking, while an aloof and detached President seems to have abandoned them to their fate...

But like any good football coach, some on the right are sounding a warning against over-confidence, fearful of weak GOP turnout and underestimating our opponents' lack of scruples... not to mention comprehensive disregard for the will of the electorate.

There's also those who urge caution in interpreting poll numbers like Rasmussen's Generic Congressional preferences, in that incumbency often trumps stated party preferences on Election Day. Others note that public mood can ebb-and-flow, and that events could somehow conspire in the Democrats' favor over the next two months.

Is there really any chance of a ham-handed GOP dropping this one in the end-zone, tho? I doubt it at this point... maybe if the party establishment was picking the ticket in every race, but that's something they no longer enjoy unfettered influence in doing- better run the next one past Sarah first, heh.

I surely don't advocate resting on our haunches until November -alas, the fight against the relentless march of statism will never end. But as far as the likelihood that desperately-needed, genuine Republican majorities might not actually materialize in the US House and even the Senate, I say bunk... the Democrats are headed for a shellacking the likes of which they've never seen- and even they know it now.

The anti-incumbent mood in the United States today is downright caustic... and still-brewing. But it's also remarkably focused and pragmatic: already it seems most within it have moved-on from what's wrong with the Obama-Pelosi-Reid triumvirate to what needs to be done to change the direction the country is headed-in, as evidenced in Alaska this week... goes something like this: Roll the Dems to the curb in November and replace them with good-faith, fiscally-responsible patriots- that simple, really.

Sarah Palin is of course in the vanguard of this effort, and the opportunity to do so presents itself in just 60 days. Already, a plurality in many districts see that filling seats with Murkowskis, Scozzafavas, and Crists isn't going to jerk the wheel hard enough -if at all- to the right to save our perilously listing ship.

This Great Awakening of independents and moderate voters after the misguided and costly mistake of electing Barack Obama has wide implications, and a fresh focus on a path of action to set us back on a course of fiscal sanity/economic liberty has patriots not accepting smiley-face go-along-to-get-along RINOs who won't slash the budget or pledge to repeal ObominableCare. Voters of all stripes want a real choice in November... and we're going to give it to 'em.

All Dick Morris has to say is you ain't seen nothing yet... (highlights mine):

Right before Election Day, the numbers will get even better and presage an even larger Republican victory.

Party trend usually indicates itself in the ten days before an election when voters who do not typically follow politics closely tune in and decide for whom to vote. Until this window, they usually describe themselves to pollsters as “undecided.”

There will be a huge Republican party trend this year, but it hasn’t happened yet.

The huge Republican poll numbers these days do not reflect the last minute switches typical of less involved voters but rather mirror the disappointment with Obama and with Congress among voters who do follow politics closely that has accumulated over the past year and a half. It is this reappraisal of their political opinions that is occasioning the big swing toward Republicans in the 2010 election.

The ranks of these disaffected voters who are now turning against Obama and the Democrats will soon be joined by the less involved voters who will come around in the week or ten days before the election.

From the perception of the pollster, party trend is a bit like a curveball thrown by a pitcher to a batter. The election statistics remain fairly static for weeks or even months with little change as the race unfolds through September and early through mid October. Like a fastball that comes in straight and true.

Then, suddenly, as the election nears, the vote swings wildly to one side or the other, akin to a curve ball that breaks as it approaches the batter – usually too late for him to make an adjustment. Suddenly, the tied races show up as decisive victories for the side that benefits from party trend. And the unwinnable races come into play.

2010 is a year like no other in the magnitude of the partisan shift going on. It dwarfs 1994 and even 1974 in its order of magnitude. But we haven’t yet seen the full impact of the last minute party shift that will take place. Plenty of voters who are now undecided are yet to be heard from and, when they are, they will impact the results decisively.

In which direction? Most likely they will transform a massive Republican win into an even more massive victory. The uninvolved voters who will decide late in the process are likely to break the same way the rest of the country is breaking – toward the Republicans

Morris sure isn't buying the Democrats will of-course still hold-on to the Senate spiel coming from the MSM and online Left, either:

It gets tiresome hearing the conventional wisdom say that the Democrats will likely keep control of the Senate. Far from it.

To gain control, Republicans must win ten new seats. An analysis of the latest polling data suggests that Republicans currently hold the lead in eight pick-up states: Pennsylvania, Colorado, Wisconsin, Washington State, Arkansas, Delaware, North Dakota, and Indiana. In a ninth, Illinois, the candidates are tied and, in the tenth – Nevada – Reid is ahead by only one point.

And, for insurance, Boxer in California and Gillibrand in New York are both below 50% of the vote. In Connecticut, Blumenthal is only at 50%. That’s a potential pickup of thirteen seats and a likely gain of at least ten (enough for a majority).

Any incumbent who is running at less than 50% of the vote is in serious trouble. It means that a majority of the voters have decided not to vote for him or her. (Asked if you are likely to be married to the same person next year, a vote of “undecided” does not bode well for your marriage).

Maggie's Notebook Dick Morris.com American Power

Melissa Clouthier The Lonely Conservative Weasel Zippers

Rasmussen Reports BBCW Flopping Aces Pookie's Toons

02 September 2010

A Patriotic Conservative Awakening Even the RNC's Ossified Pachyderms Can't Botch